Strength
Strength
|
56 17 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
844 -75 Strength Momentum |
904 47.7(39) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Silver | 0.000 | 870 | W 3- 0 | Better (+3) | 998 | 49% | |
| 08/21/15 | East Mountain | 0.000 | 890 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 857 | 45% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Taos | 0.000 | 1104 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-5) | 574 | 13% | |
| 08/25/15 | East Mountain ?? | 0.000 | 890 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 757 | 45% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.000 | 1003 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 883 | 22% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Robertson !! | 0.001 | 872 | W 5- 0 | Better (+5) | 1120 | 43% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.000 | 848 | W 9- 0 | Better (+9) | 1320 | 47% | |
| 09/08/15 | Robertson ! | 0.002 | 872 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1050 | 49% | |
| 09/12/15 | Taos | 0.005 | 1104 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 814 | 16% | |
| 09/14/15 | at Capital | 0.010 | 961 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 862 | 28% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Hatch ? | 0.010 | 1052 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 808 | 17% | |
| 09/19/15 | St. Michael's | 0.023 | 904 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 914 | 43% | |
| 09/24/15 | Bosque | 0.035 | 1309 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+1) | 917 | 5% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.044 | 1111 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 786 | 12% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.038 | 654 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1011 | 77% | |
| 10/03/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.139 | 1111 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 918 | 15% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.231 | 884 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 924 | 40% | |
| 10/15/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.415 | 904 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 934 | 37% | |
| 10/17/15 | Desert Academy | 0.466 | 654 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 840 | 81% | |
| 10/30/15 | at Hatch | 0.752 | 1052 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 808 | 17% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Monte del Sol actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 904, while
Monte del Sol's "weighted playing strength" is 865
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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